Clik here to view.
Democrats Are in a Perilous Position in 2014 Senate Races
Can you predict Senate elections more accurately than a basic polling average? It’s something we at FiveThirtyEight try to do. For our official Senate forecast, we’ll include adjustments for...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Democratic Senators Shouldn’t Count On Money To Save Them In November
Democrats are banking on their incumbents’ fundraising prowess to help hold the majority in the Senate this fall. Sens. Kay Hagan in North Carolina and Mark Begich in Alaska, for example, lead their...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Democrats Draw Almost Even. Is It The Money?
When we officially launched our forecast model two weeks ago, it had Republicans with a 64 percent chance of taking over the Senate after this fall’s elections. Now Republican chances are about 55...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Don’t Forget About Kentucky And Georgia
Most of the time you read “competitive Senate race” in 2014, you’re reading about states such as Iowa and Colorado.Yet I have to remind myself not to forget about other Senate races that don’t get...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Don’t Go Crazy
At about 6 p.m. Wednesday, a collective Democratic spit-take splattered computer screens around the country (at least that’s what I imagined happened). Fox News released new polls showing Republican...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The ‘Maroon 6’: A Better Way To Look At The 2014 Senate Races
It’s natural to group Senate races based on which party controls the seat in the current Congress. The math seems easy enough. If Republicans win six seats held by Democrats without losing any seats of...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Fundraising Totals Are A Bad Sign For Democrats
Among the most hopeful signs for Democrats this year have been the strong fundraising totals for their Senate candidates. Through June 30, the Democratic incumbent Mark Udall of Colorado had raised...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Democratic Hopes Dim in Kentucky
It was the great Democratic dream of 2014. Hold onto the Senate majority, sure, but in addition: Oust Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, in ruby red Kentucky. And for awhile it seemed...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Democrats’ Chance Of Holding On Continues To Fall
In the latest FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast, Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of holding on to control of the chamber. But the more pressing question now may be the size of the Republican...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Democrats Need Chaos
Democrats are down to about a 25 percent chance to retain the Senate, according to the latest FiveThirtyEight forecast. A 25 percent chance isn’t nothing. The average National League hitter hit about...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Democrats Are in a Perilous Position in 2014 Senate Races
Can you predict Senate elections more accurately than a basic polling average? It’s something we at FiveThirtyEight try to do. For our official Senate forecast, we’ll include adjustments for...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Democratic Senators Shouldn’t Count On Money To Save Them In November
Democrats are banking on their incumbents’ fundraising prowess to help hold the majority in the Senate this fall. Sens. Kay Hagan in North Carolina and Mark Begich in Alaska, for example, lead their...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Democrats Draw Almost Even. Is It The Money?
When we officially launched our forecast model two weeks ago, it had Republicans with a 64 percent chance of taking over the Senate after this fall’s elections. Now Republican chances are about 55...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Don’t Forget About Kentucky And Georgia
Most of the time you read “competitive Senate race” in 2014, you’re reading about states such as Iowa and Colorado. Yet I have to remind myself not to forget about other Senate races that don’t get...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Don’t Go Crazy
At about 6 p.m. Wednesday, a collective Democratic spit-take splattered computer screens around the country (at least that’s what I imagined happened). Fox News released new polls showing Republican...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The ‘Maroon 6’: A Better Way To Look At The 2014 Senate Races
It’s natural to group Senate races based on which party controls the seat in the current Congress. The math seems easy enough. If Republicans win six seats held by Democrats without losing any seats...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Fundraising Totals Are A Bad Sign For Democrats
Among the most hopeful signs for Democrats this year have been the strong fundraising totals for their Senate candidates. Through June 30, the Democratic incumbent Mark Udall of Colorado had raised...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Democratic Hopes Dim in Kentucky
It was the great Democratic dream of 2014. Hold onto the Senate majority, sure, but in addition: Oust Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, in ruby red Kentucky. And for awhile it seemed...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Senate Update: Democrats’ Chance Of Holding On Continues To Fall
In the latest FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast, Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of holding on to control of the chamber. But the more pressing question now may be the size of the Republican...
View ArticleDemocrats Need Chaos
Democrats are down to about a 25 percent chance to retain the Senate, according to the latest FiveThirtyEight forecast. A 25 percent chance isn’t nothing. The average National League hitter hit about...
View Article
